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1.
Mult Scler ; : 13524585231176174, 2023 May 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-20232521

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In the general population, maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy is associated with worse maternal outcomes; however, only one study so far has evaluated COVID-19 clinical outcomes in pregnant and postpartum women with multiple sclerosis, showing no higher risk for poor COVID-19 outcomes in these patients. OBJECTIVE: In this multicenter study, we aimed to evaluate COVID-19 clinical outcomes in pregnant patients with multiple sclerosis. METHODS: We recruited 85 pregnant patients with multiple sclerosis who contracted COVID-19 after conception and were prospectively followed-up in Italian and Turkish Centers, in the period 2020-2022. A control group of 1354 women was extracted from the database of the Multiple Sclerosis and COVID-19 (MuSC-19). Univariate and subsequent logistic regression models were fitted to search for risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 course (at least one outcome among hospitalization, intensive care unit [ICU] admission and death). RESULTS: In the multivariable analysis, independent predictors of severe COVID-19 were age, body mass index ⩾ 30, treatment with anti-CD20 and recent use of methylprednisolone. Vaccination before infection was a protective factor. Vaccination before infection was a protective factor. Pregnancy was not a risk nor a protective factor for severe COVID-19 course. CONCLUSION: Our data show no significant increase of severe COVID-19 outcomes in patients with multiple sclerosis who contracted the infection during pregnancy.

2.
Eur J Pediatr ; 2023 May 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2313025

ABSTRACT

Accidents are the main cause of injury in children, more than half events happen at home. Aims of this study were to assess if SARS-CoV-2 lockdown influence emergency department (ED) visits due to children domestic accident (DAs) and to identify factors associated with hospitalization. This was a multicentre, observational, and retrospective cohort study involving 16 EDs in Italy and enrolling children (3-13 years) receiving a visit in ED during March-June 2019 and March-June 2020. Risk factors for hospitalization were identified by logistic regression models. In total, 8860 ED visits due to domestic accidents in children occurred before (4380) and during (4480) lockdown, with a mean incidence of DA of 5.6% in 2019 and 17.9% in 2020 (p < 0.001) (IRR: 3.16; p < 0.001). The risk of hospitalization was influenced by the type of occurred accident, with fourfold higher for poisoning and twofold lower risk for stab-wound ones. In addition, a higher risk was reported for lockdown period vs 2019 (OR: 1.9; p < 0.001), males (OR: 1.4; p < 0.001), and it increased with age (OR: 1.1; p < 0.001).    Conclusions: The main limitation of this study is the retrospective collection of data, available only for patients who presented at the hospital. This does highlight possible differences in the total number of incidents that truly occurred. In any case, the COVID-19 lockdown had a high impact on the frequency of DAs and on hospitalization. A public health campaign aimed at caregivers would be necessary to minimize possible risks at home. What is Known: • In Italy, domestic accidents are the second leading cause of paediatric mortality after cancer. • During the first SARS-CoV-2 lockdown in 2020, a sharp decrease in the total number of Emergency Departments visits for all causes was observed, both in children and in adults. What is New: • During the first SARS-CoV-2 lockdown in 2020, domestic accidents involving children increased threefold from the previous year. • Higher risk of hospitalization was showed in minors accessing during 2020 vs 2019, in males than in females and it increased with advancing age. Considering the type of injury, a significant higher risk of hospitalization for poisoning was observed.

3.
Eur J Neurol ; 30(8): 2357-2364, 2023 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2319005

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Although two doses of COVID-19 vaccine elicited a protective humoral response in most persons with multiple sclerosis (pwMS), a significant group of them treated with immunosuppressive disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) showed less efficient responses. METHODS: This prospective multicenter observational study evaluates differences in immune response after a third vaccine dose in pwMS. RESULTS: Four hundred seventy-three pwMS were analyzed. Compared to untreated patients, there was a 50-fold decrease (95% confidence interval [CI] = 14.3-100.0, p < 0.001) in serum SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels in those on rituximab, a 20-fold decrease (95% CI = 8.3-50.0, p < 0.001) in those on ocrelizumab, and a 2.3-fold decrease (95% CI = 1.2-4.6, p = 0.015) in those on fingolimod. As compared to the antibody levels after the second vaccine dose, patients on the anti-CD20 drugs rituximab and ocrelizumab showed a 2.3-fold lower gain (95% CI = 1.4-3.8, p = 0.001), whereas those on fingolimod showed a 1.7-fold higher gain (95% CI = 1.1-2.7, p = 0.012), compared to patients treated with other DMTs. CONCLUSIONS: All pwMS increased their serum SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels after the third vaccine dose. The mean antibody values of patients treated with ocrelizumab/rituximab remained well below the empirical "protective threshold" for risk of infection identified in the CovaXiMS study (>659 binding antibody units/mL), whereas for patients treated with fingolimod this value was significantly closer to the cutoff.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Multiple Sclerosis , Humans , COVID-19 Vaccines , Antibody Formation , Fingolimod Hydrochloride , Multiple Sclerosis/drug therapy , Prospective Studies , Rituximab/therapeutic use , COVID-19/prevention & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Antibodies, Viral , Vaccination
4.
Ann Neurol ; 89(4): 780-789, 2021 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2272603

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to assess the impact of immunosuppressive and immunomodulatory therapies on the severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS). METHODS: We retrospectively collected data of PwMS with suspected or confirmed COVID-19. All the patients had complete follow-up to death or recovery. Severe COVID-19 was defined by a 3-level variable: mild disease not requiring hospitalization versus pneumonia or hospitalization versus intensive care unit (ICU) admission or death. We evaluated baseline characteristics and MS therapies associated with severe COVID-19 by multivariate and propensity score (PS)-weighted ordinal logistic models. Sensitivity analyses were run to confirm the results. RESULTS: Of 844 PwMS with suspected (n = 565) or confirmed (n = 279) COVID-19, 13 (1.54%) died; 11 of them were in a progressive MS phase, and 8 were without any therapy. Thirty-eight (4.5%) were admitted to an ICU; 99 (11.7%) had radiologically documented pneumonia; 96 (11.4%) were hospitalized. After adjusting for region, age, sex, progressive MS course, Expanded Disability Status Scale, disease duration, body mass index, comorbidities, and recent methylprednisolone use, therapy with an anti-CD20 agent (ocrelizumab or rituximab) was significantly associated (odds ratio [OR] = 2.37, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.18-4.74, p = 0.015) with increased risk of severe COVID-19. Recent use (<1 month) of methylprednisolone was also associated with a worse outcome (OR = 5.24, 95% CI = 2.20-12.53, p = 0.001). Results were confirmed by the PS-weighted analysis and by all the sensitivity analyses. INTERPRETATION: This study showed an acceptable level of safety of therapies with a broad array of mechanisms of action. However, some specific elements of risk emerged. These will need to be considered while the COVID-19 pandemic persists. ANN NEUROL 2021;89:780-789.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/physiopathology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Immunosuppressive Agents/therapeutic use , Multiple Sclerosis/drug therapy , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/therapeutic use , COVID-19/complications , COVID-19/mortality , Dimethyl Fumarate/therapeutic use , Female , Fingolimod Hydrochloride/therapeutic use , Humans , Immunologic Factors/therapeutic use , Intensive Care Units/statistics & numerical data , Interferons/therapeutic use , Male , Middle Aged , Mortality , Multiple Sclerosis/complications , Natalizumab/therapeutic use , SARS-CoV-2 , Severity of Illness Index , Young Adult
5.
Eur J Neurol ; 29(2): 535-542, 2022 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2252981

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Some studies have shown that air pollution, often assessed by thin particulate matter with diameter below 2.5 µg/m3 (PM2.5), may contribute to severe COVID-19 courses, as well as play a role in the onset and evolution of multiple sclerosis (MS). However, the impact of air pollution on COVID-19 has never been explored specifically amongst patients with MS (PwMS). This retrospective observational study aims to explore associations between PM2.5 and COVID-19 severity amongst PwMS. METHODS: Data were retrieved from an Italian web-based platform (MuSC-19) which includes PwMS with COVID-19. PM2.5 2016-2018 average concentrations were provided by the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service. Italian patients inserted in the platform from 15 January 2020 to 9 April 2021 with a COVID-19 positive test were included. Ordered logistic regression models were used to study associations between PM2.5 and COVID-19 severity. RESULTS: In all, 1087 patients, of whom 13% required hospitalization and 2% were admitted to an intensive care unit or died, were included. Based on the multivariate analysis, higher concentrations of PM2.5 increased the risk of worse COVID-19 course (odds ratio 1.90; p = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: Even if several other factors explain the unfavourable course of COVID-19 in PwMS, the role of air pollutants must be considered and further investigated.


Subject(s)
Air Pollution , COVID-19 , Multiple Sclerosis , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Air Pollution/analysis , Humans , Multiple Sclerosis/epidemiology , Particulate Matter/analysis , Particulate Matter/toxicity , SARS-CoV-2
6.
Mult Scler Relat Disord ; 70: 104494, 2023 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2244967

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Treatment with fingolimod for multiple sclerosis (MS) reduces the efficacy of COVID-19 vaccination. The aim of this exploratory study was to evaluate whether main lymphocyte subsets and demographic features correlated to the subsequent increase in anti-SARS-CoV2 antibodies following the third dose of COVID-19 vaccination in fingolimod-treated MS patients. METHODS: This was a prospective single-center observational exploratory study including a subgroup of adult patients with MS (pwMS) in treatment with fingolimod who underwent COVID-19 vaccination. The association of anti-SARS-CoV2 antibody levels (reported as the Log10 of the difference between the post and pre third dose levels) with the total number and percentage of CD3+ T and CD19+ B was assessed by a linear regression model adjusted for age and sex. RESULTS: We found that peripheral blood CD19+ B lymphocytes before the third dose of vaccination in pwMS treated with fingolimod predict the subsequent increase of anti-SARS-CoV2 antibodies. CONCLUSION: This work suggests that evaluating the percentage of CD19+ B cells may be important to identify patients at risk of not producing SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, with possible reduced protection from COVID-19.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Multiple Sclerosis , Adult , Humans , COVID-19 Vaccines , Fingolimod Hydrochloride , Prospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2 , B-Lymphocytes , Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing , Antibodies, Viral , Vaccination
7.
Mult Scler ; 28(13): 2106-2111, 2022 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2079315

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patients with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) treated with anti-CD20 or fingolimod showed a reduced humoral response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. OBJECTIVE: In this study we aimed to monitor the risk of breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infection in pwMS on different disease-modifying therapies (DMTs). METHODS: Data on the number of vaccinated patients and the number of patients with a breakthrough infection were retrospectively collected in 27 Italian MS centers. We estimated the rate of breakthrough infections and of infection requiring hospitalization per DMT. RESULTS: 19,641 vaccinated pwMS were included in the database. After a median follow-up of 8 months, we observed 137 breakthrough infections. Compared with other DMTs, the rate of breakthrough infections was significantly higher on ocrelizumab (0.57% vs 2.00%, risk ratio (RR) = 3.55, 95% CI = 2.74-4.58, p < 0.001) and fingolimod (0.58% vs 1.62%, RR = 2.65, 95% CI = 1.75-4.00, p < 0.001), while there were no significant differences in any other DMT group. In the ocrelizumab group the hospitalization rate was 16.7% versus 19.4% in the pre-vaccination era (RR = 0.86, p = 0.74) and it was 3.9% in all the other DMT groups versus 11.9% in the pre-vaccination period (RR = 0.33, p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infections is higher in patients treated with ocrelizumab and fingolimod, and the rate of severe infections was significantly reduced in all the DMTs excluding ocrelizumab.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Multiple Sclerosis , COVID-19 Vaccines , Fingolimod Hydrochloride/therapeutic use , Humans , Multiple Sclerosis/drug therapy , Multiple Sclerosis/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2
8.
Mult Scler Relat Disord ; 68: 104243, 2022 Oct 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2076554

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Many studies investigated the association between air pollution and Covid-19 severity but the only study focusing on patients with Multiple Sclerosis (MS) exclusively evaluated exposure to PM2.5. We aim to study, in a sample of MS patients, the impact of long-term exposure to PM2.5, PM10 and NO2 on Covid-19 severity, described as occurrence of pneumonia. METHODS: A 1:2 ratio case-control study was designed, differentiating cases and controls based on Covid-19 pneumonia. Associations between pollutants and outcome were studied using logistic regression. Weighted quantile sum (WQS) logistic regression was used to identify the individual contribution of each pollutant within the mixture; Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) penalized regression was performed to confirm the variable selection from WQS. All the analyses were adjusted for confounders selected a priori. RESULTS: Of the 615 eligible patients, 491 patients provided detailed place of exposure and were included in the principal analysis. Higher concentrations of air pollutants were associated with increased odds of developing Covid-19 pneumonia (PM2.5: 3rd vs 1st tercile OR(95% CI)=2.26(1.29;3.96); PM10: 3rd vs 1st tercile OR(95% CI)=2.12(1.22;3.68); NO2: 3rd vs 1st tercile OR(95% CI)=2.12(1.21;3.69)). Pollutants were highly correlated with each other; WQS index was associated to an increased risk of pneumonia (ß=0.44; p-value=0.004) and the main contributors to this association were NO2 (41%) and PM2.5 (34%). Consistently, Lasso method selected PM2.5 and NO2. CONCLUSIONS: Higher long-term exposure to PM2.5, PM10 and NO2 increased the odds of Covid-19 pneumonia among MS patients and the most dangerous pollutants were NO2 and PM2.5.

9.
Eur J Neurol ; 29(12): 3728-3736, 2022 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2019251

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Clinical outcomes of multiple sclerosis (MS) patients affected by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been thoroughly investigated, but a further analysis on main signs and symptoms and their risk factors still needs attention. The objective of this study was to group together and describe based on similarity the most common signs and symptoms of COVID-19 in MS patients and identify all factors associated with their manifestation. METHOD: Logistic and linear regression models were run to recognize factors associated with each pooled group of symptoms and their total number. RESULTS: From March 2020 to November 2021, data were collected from 1354 MS patients with confirmed infection of COVID-19. Ageusia and anosmia was less frequent in older people (odds ratio [OR] 0.98; p = 0.005) and more in smoker patients (OR 1.39; p = 0.049). Smoke was also associated with an incremental number of symptoms (OR 1.24; p = 0.031), substance abuse (drugs or alcohol), conjunctivitis and rash (OR 5.20; p = 0.042) and the presence of at least one comorbidity with shortness of breath, tachycardia or chest pain (OR 1.24; p = 0.008). Some disease-modifying therapies were associated with greater frequencies of certain COVID-19 symptoms (association between anti-CD20 therapies and increment in the number of concomitant symptoms: OR 1.29; p = 0.05). Differences in frequencies between the three waves were found for flu-like symptoms (G1, p = 0.024), joint or muscle pain (G2, p = 0.013) and ageusia and anosmia (G5, p < 0.001). All cases should be referred to variants up to Delta. CONCLUSION: Several factors along with the choice of specific therapeutic approaches might have a different impact on the occurrence of some COVID-19 symptoms.


Subject(s)
Ageusia , COVID-19 , Multiple Sclerosis , Humans , Aged , Ageusia/epidemiology , Ageusia/etiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Anosmia , Multiple Sclerosis/complications
10.
Mult Scler Relat Disord ; 68: 104156, 2022 Sep 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2007967

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Coronavirus 19 pandemic has raised new relevant questions regarding the management of patients with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) treated with different immunosuppressive and immunomodulant drugs. In most COVID-19 outcomes analyses, due to the small available sample size, patients treated with cladribine were grouped with patients treated with other treatments. METHODS: Three major databases (PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science) and the most recent MS congress libraries were searched for extracting original articles on COVID-19 and multiple sclerosis. The key inclusion criteria were the presence of data on pwMS treated with cladribine and with documented positivity for COVID-19. The quality of the included studies was evaluated using a modified version of the Dutch Cochrane center critical review checklist proposed by MOOSE. A common-effect meta-analysis was used for estimating the pooled proportion of patients with severe events (hospitalizations, pneumonia, ICU admissions and deaths) and heterogeneity was assessed by the I2 statistic. RESULTS: 13 articles were included in the analysis and the median quality of the articles reached a level of 4. The selected studies included 5138 patients with COVID-19, of whom 107 (2.1%) were treated with cladribine. Pooled estimates of hospitalization and death were 9.36% and 0% for patients treated with cladribine, 14.98% and 2.66% for pwMS under other treatments. CONCLUSION: These results indicate that pwMS treated with cladribine are not at a greater risk of developing a severe form of COVID-19. REGISTRATION: The protocol was registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO: CRD42022329464).

11.
Neurol Sci ; 43(12): 6657-6659, 2022 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1990662

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The visual-well aerated lung (V-WAL) is a score for the visual quantification of the well aerated lung on CT scan in COVID-19 patients and its value at admission seems to predict future COVID-19 severity. The aim of the present study was to analyze the association between V-WAL and risk factors for severe COVID-19 evolution in people with multiple sclerosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is an observational retrospective study, including people with multiple sclerosis and concomitant COVID-19, who were investigated with a lung CT scan at Hospital admission. The association of V-WAL with age, sex, EDSS, comorbidities, recent steroid use, and treatment (anti-CD20 vs other) was assessed by a multivariate linear regression model. RESULTS: In this observational retrospective study, the only factor that was significantly associated to a lower V-WAL at multivariable analysis was an increasing level of the EDSS (R2 = 0.41, p = 0.001), with an average decrease of 8% of V-WAL for each additional EDSS point. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: This analysis shows that a high EDSS level is the main factor associated to the severity of lung involvement in a group of people with multiple sclerosis who were hospitalized for Covid-19.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Multiple Sclerosis , Humans , COVID-19/complications , Retrospective Studies , Multiple Sclerosis/complications , Multiple Sclerosis/diagnostic imaging , Multiple Sclerosis/epidemiology , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Lung/diagnostic imaging
12.
J Clin Med ; 11(15)2022 Jul 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1969319

ABSTRACT

Anti-vascular endothelial growth factor nowdays represents the standard of care for diabetic macular edema (DME). Nevertheless, the burden of injections worldwide has created tremendous stress on the healthcare system during the COVID-19 pandemic. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of the oral administration of Curcuma longa and Boswellia serrata (Retimix®) in patients with non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (DR) and treatment-naïve DME < 400 µm, managed during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this retrospective study, patients were enrolled and divided into two groups, one undergoing observation (Group A, n 12) and one receiving one sachet a day of Retimix® (Group B, n 49). Best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) and central macular thickness (CMT) measured by spectral-domain optical coherence tomography were performed at baseline, then at one and six months. A mixed-design ANOVA was calculated to determine whether the change in CMT and BCVA over time differed according to the consumption of Retimix®. The interaction between time and treatment was significant, with F (1.032, 102.168) = 14.416; η2 = 0.127; p < 0.001, indicating that the change in terms of CMT and BCVA over time among groups was significantly different. In conclusion, our results show the efficacy of Curcuma longa and Boswellia serrata in patients with non-proliferative DR and treatment-naïve DME in maintaining baseline CMT and BCVA values over time.

13.
Neurol Neuroimmunol Neuroinflamm ; 9(1)2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1928237

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: It is unclear how multiple sclerosis (MS) affects the severity of COVID-19. The aim of this study is to compare COVID-19-related outcomes collected in an Italian cohort of patients with MS with the outcomes expected in the age- and sex-matched Italian population. METHODS: Hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and death after COVID-19 diagnosis of 1,362 patients with MS were compared with the age- and sex-matched Italian population in a retrospective observational case-cohort study with population-based control. The observed vs the expected events were compared in the whole MS cohort and in different subgroups (higher risk: Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] score > 3 or at least 1 comorbidity, lower risk: EDSS score ≤ 3 and no comorbidities) by the χ2 test, and the risk excess was quantified by risk ratios (RRs). RESULTS: The risk of severe events was about twice the risk in the age- and sex-matched Italian population: RR = 2.12 for hospitalization (p < 0.001), RR = 2.19 for ICU admission (p < 0.001), and RR = 2.43 for death (p < 0.001). The excess of risk was confined to the higher-risk group (n = 553). In lower-risk patients (n = 809), the rate of events was close to that of the Italian age- and sex-matched population (RR = 1.12 for hospitalization, RR = 1.52 for ICU admission, and RR = 1.19 for death). In the lower-risk group, an increased hospitalization risk was detected in patients on anti-CD20 (RR = 3.03, p = 0.005), whereas a decrease was detected in patients on interferon (0 observed vs 4 expected events, p = 0.04). DISCUSSION: Overall, the MS cohort had a risk of severe events that is twice the risk than the age- and sex-matched Italian population. This excess of risk is mainly explained by the EDSS score and comorbidities, whereas a residual increase of hospitalization risk was observed in patients on anti-CD20 therapies and a decrease in people on interferon.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/physiopathology , Multiple Sclerosis/epidemiology , Adult , COVID-19/immunology , COVID-19/therapy , Cohort Studies , Comorbidity , Female , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Intensive Care Units/statistics & numerical data , Italy/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Multiple Sclerosis/immunology , Multiple Sclerosis/physiopathology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Severity of Illness Index
14.
Mult Scler Relat Disord ; 63: 103909, 2022 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1867612

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Many risk factors for the development of severe forms of Covid-19 have been identified, some applying to the general population and others specific to Multiple Sclerosis (MS) patients. However, a score for quantifying the individual risk of severe Covid-19 in patients with MS is not available. The aim of this study was to construct such score and to evaluate its performance. METHODS: Data on patients with MS infected with Covid-19 in Italy, Turkey and South America were extracted from the Musc-19 platform. After imputation of missing values, data were separated into training data set (70%) and validation data set (30%). Univariable logistic regression models were performed in the training dataset to identify the main risk factors to be included in the multivariable logistic regression analyses. To select the most relevant variables we applied three different approaches: (1) multivariable stepwise, (2) Lasso regression, (3) Bayesian model averaging. Three scores were defined as the linear combination of the coefficients estimated in the models multiplied by the corresponding value of the variables and higher scores were associated to higher risk of severe Covid-19 course. The performances of the three scores were compared in the validation dataset based on the area under the ROC curve (AUC) and an optimal cut-off was calculated in the training dataset for the score with the best performance. The probability of showing a severe Covid-19 course was calculated based on the score with the best performance. RESULTS: 3852 patients were included in the study (2696 in the training dataset and 1156 in the validation data set). 17% of the patients required hospitalization and risk factors for severe Covid-19 course were older age, male sex, living in Turkey or South America instead of living in Italy, presence of comorbidities, progressive MS, longer disease duration, higher Expanded Disability Status Scale, Methylprednisolone use and anti-CD20 treatment. The score with the best performance was the one derived using the Lasso selection approach (AUC= 0.72) and it was built with the following variables: age, sex, country, BMI, presence of comorbidities, EDSS, methylprednisolone use, treatment. An excel spreadsheet to calculate the score and the probability of severe Covid-19 is available at the following link: https://osf.io/ac47u/?view_only=691814d57b564a34b3596e4fcdcf8580. CONCLUSIONS: The originality of this study consists in building a useful tool to quantify the individual risk for Covid-19 severity based on patient's characteristics. Due to the modest predictive ability and to the need of external validation, this tool is not ready for being fully used in clinical practice to make important decisions or interventions. However, it can be used as an additional instrument to identify high-risk patients and persuade them to take important measures to prevent Covid-19 infection (i.e. getting vaccinated against Covid-19, adhering to social distancing, and using of personal protection equipment).


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Multiple Sclerosis , Bayes Theorem , COVID-19/epidemiology , Humans , Male , Methylprednisolone , Multiple Sclerosis/epidemiology , Personal Protective Equipment
15.
Microvasc Res ; 142: 104361, 2022 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1829271

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: COVID-19 is a multisystem disease that causes endothelial dysfunction and organ damage. Aim of the study was to evaluate the microvascular status in COVID-19 survivors with past different disease severity, in comparison with age and sex-matched primary Raynaud's phenomenon (PRP) patients and control subjects (CNT), including possible effects of concomitant therapies. METHODS: Sixty-one COVID-19 survivors (mean age 58 ± 13 years, mean days from disease onset 126 ± 53 and mean days from recovery 104 ± 53), thirty-one PRP patients (mean age 59 ± 15 years, mean disease duration 11 ± 10 years) and thirty CNT (mean age 58 ± 13 years) underwent nailfold videocapillaroscopy (NVC) examination. The following capillaroscopic parameters were searched and scored (0-3): dilated capillaries, giant capillaries, isolated microhemorrhages, capillary ramifications (angiogenesis) and capillary number, including absolute capillary number per linear millimeter at the nailfold bed. RESULTS: The mean nailfold capillary number per linear millimeter was significantly lower in COVID-19 survivors when compared with PRP patients and CNT (univariate and multivariate analysis p < 0.001). On the contrary, COVID-19 survivors showed significantly less isolated microhemorrhages than PRP patients and CNT (univariate and multivariate analysis, p = 0.005 and p = 0.012, respectively). No statistically significant difference was observed between COVID-19 survivors and control groups concerning the frequency of dilated capillaries and capillary ramifications. COVID-19 selective therapies showed a promising trend on preserving capillary loss and deserving further investigations. CONCLUSIONS: SARS-CoV-2 seems to mainly induce a significant loss of capillaries in COVID-19 survivors at detailed NVC analysis in comparison to controls. The presence of a significant reduced score for isolated microhaemorrhages in COVID-19 survivors deserves further analysis.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Nails , Adult , Aged , COVID-19/diagnosis , Capillaries , Humans , Microscopic Angioscopy , Middle Aged , Nails/blood supply , SARS-CoV-2 , Survivors
16.
EBioMedicine ; 80: 104042, 2022 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1819477

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In this study we aimed to monitor the risk of breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients with MS (pwMS) under different DMTs and to identify correlates of reduced protection. METHODS: This is a prospective Italian multicenter cohort study, long-term clinical follow-up of the CovaXiMS (Covid-19 vaccine in Multiple Sclerosis) study. 1855 pwMS scheduled for SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccination were enrolled and followed up to a mean time of 10 months. The cumulative incidence of breakthrough Covid-19 cases in pwMS was calculated before and after December 2021, to separate the Delta from the Omicron waves and to account for the advent of the third vaccine dose. FINDINGS: 1705 pwMS received 2 m-RNA vaccine doses, 21/28 days apart. Of them, 1508 (88.5%) had blood assessment 4 weeks after the second vaccine dose and 1154/1266 (92%) received the third dose after a mean interval of 210 days (range 90-342 days) after the second dose. During follow-up, 131 breakthrough Covid-19 infections (33 during the Delta and 98 during the Omicron wave) were observed. The probability to be infected during the Delta wave was associated with SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels measured after 4 weeks from the second vaccine dose (HR=0.57, p < 0.001); the protective role of antibodies was preserved over the whole follow up (HR=0.57, 95%CI=0.43-0.75, p < 0.001), with a significant reduction (HR=1.40, 95%CI=1.01-1.94, p=0.04) for the Omicron cases. The third dose significantly reduced the risk of infection (HR=0.44, 95%CI=0.21-0.90,p=0.025) during the Omicron wave. INTERPRETATION: The risk of breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infections is mainly associated with reduced levels of the virus-specific humoral immune response. FUNDING: Supported by FISM - Fondazione Italiana Sclerosi Multipla - cod. 2021/Special-Multi/001 and financed or co-financed with the '5 per mille' public funding.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Viral Vaccines , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines , Cohort Studies , Humans , Prospective Studies , RNA, Messenger , SARS-CoV-2 , Vaccination , Vaccines, Synthetic , mRNA Vaccines
17.
Adv Exp Med Biol ; 1353: 91-113, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1680580

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Unexpectedly, Italy was the first Western country to face COVID-19 outbreak, but promptly it was the first one to adopt stringent procedures to stem the spread of infection. The objective of this study was to describe the epidemiological situation and comorbidities in Italy, in addition to containment measures and health system and social protection strengthening ones applied in this country. METHODS: Available population data were collected, managed, and analysed from the daily reports on COVID-19 published every day, from 1 February to 8 June 2020. RESULTS: Lombardia, a northern region of Italy, is considered the epicentre for the wave of the infection with the first diagnosed case, but in a few weeks other regions were involved (with Piemonte, Emilia-Romagna, and Veneto covering more than 70% of the Italian total cases). In the European context, after 3 months of containing measures of the sanitary emergency, Italy is the fourth country for the number of total positive cases (with 235,278 total case as at 8 June 2020), after Russia, the United Kingdom, and Spain, whereas it is the second for the number of deaths (with 33,964 deaths as at 8 June 2020), only after the United Kingdom. Regarding incidence, the curve of daily new cases shows an increasing trend up to 22 March 2020 with 6557 new daily cases and then a decreasing trend up to 280 as at 8 June. This turnaround can be explained by the application of national lockdown starting from 9 March and by the following 14 days of incubation of infection. Profiles of subjects at major risk of poor prognosis and death for COVID-19 are elderly (mean age of 80 years) and with three or more comorbidities. These characteristics can partially explain the high lethality rate for coronavirus observed in Italy, which is the European country with the highest share of elderly. In addition, other possible explanations of this high lethality are differences in testing policies among countries that influence the number of asymptomatic or pauci-symptomatic patients diagnosed as coronavirus positive, together with differences in definition and in the way of recording deaths for coronavirus. In the absence of a vaccine, severe nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), including national lockdown, quarantine, social distancing, and use of facial masks, have been applied with success to reduce the virus spread and the burden on the National Health System. In addition to these stringent containment measures to fight the pandemic, other policies have been adopted searching to ensure economic sustainability, social safety, and stability. CONCLUSION: Italy was the first Western country with a wide spread of COVID-19, but it was the first one to introduce containment restrictions, tightening them week by week and subjecting the 60 million people living in the country to unprecedented limitations. Many measurements have been adopted by the government, such as lockdown during the early stages of infection and subsequent social distancing and wearing face masks in public areas. Italians were compliant with all the measures ordered by the government and their discipline reflected in the COVID numbers: the curve of daily new cases after a peak at the end of March now shows a consistent decreasing trend up. In this phase of current reduction of virus diffusion, it is crucial to accommodate the need to continue protecting citizens from the risk of infection with the undeferrable, although gradual, restart of the economic and social system. This new scenario requires an active collaboration among all the actors: statutory bodies, employers, civil society, and the third sector.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pandemics , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Communicable Disease Control , Humans , Italy/epidemiology , Quarantine , SARS-CoV-2
18.
Mult Scler Relat Disord ; 57: 103358, 2022 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1500166

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 may spread through various ways ranging from asymptomatic to severe forms, until respiratory failure, critical conditions and death occurs. There is a particular concern for patients affected by multiple sclerosis, especially for those under disease-modifying treatments. Some studies have found an association between anti-CD20 therapies (especially rituximab) and severe COVID-19. However, results were not always clear and thus a systematic review was helpful. METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed independently by two authors on the main search tools considering as key inclusion criterion the presence of data on patients under ocrelizumab or rituximab positive to COVID-19. The quality of the included studies was evaluated based on a modified version of the Dutch Cochrane center critical review checklist proposed by MOOSE and in case of missing data an email was sent to the corresponding authors asking for missing information. After excluding case-reports, a random effects meta-analysis of proportions was conducted using the continuity correction and the I2statistic was calculated to measure heterogeneity. RESULTS: 29 articles were included in the analysis and the median quality of the articles reached 4/5 after having integrated the additional details provided by the authors. The articles included 5173 patients, of whom 770 (14.8%) and 455 (8.8%) were, respectively, under ocrelizumab and rituximab. Pooled estimates of hospitalization, pneumonia and intensive care unit admission were 18.1%, 14.8% and 3.3%, respectively, while pooled estimate for death was 1.8% overall and 1.6% and 4.5%, respectively, for patients under ocrelizumab and rituximab. CONCLUSION: Patients treated with rituximab seem to be at higher risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes compared to patients under other treatments.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Multiple Sclerosis , Hospitalization , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Multiple Sclerosis/drug therapy , SARS-CoV-2
20.
Mult Scler Relat Disord ; 56: 103324, 2021 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1458875

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to report the severity of COVID-19 in a cohort of Egyptian patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) with particular attention on the impact of disease modifying drugs (DMDs). METHODS AND STUDY POPULATION: We included 119 MS patients recruited from two centers, Ain-Shams university and Cairo university with confirmed or suspected COVID-19 during the period from May to September 2020 as a part of the MuSC-19 project. Univariate logistic regression was fitted to assess risk factors for severe COVID-19 (at least one outcome among hospitalization, ICU admission and death). RESULTS: Females were 77%, mean age was 34 years, mean duration of MS was 5.28 years, median EDSS was 3, most of the patients (83%) had RRMS, while 15% and 2% had respectively SPMS and PPMS. Only eleven patients (9% of study population) had a severe outcome and 3 patients (3%) died. Headache was the only symptom significantly associated with the severity of COVID-19 (OR=10.85, P = 0.001). There was no association between any of the DMDs and severe COVID-19 outcome. CONCLUSION: This study showed an acceptable safety profile of DMDs in Egyptian MS patients who developed COVID-19, as 91% of the cohort had a favorable outcome. Headache as a symptom associated with severe outcome in Egyptian patients' needs further validation.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Multiple Sclerosis , Adult , Cohort Studies , Egypt/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Multiple Sclerosis/complications , Multiple Sclerosis/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2
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